Norway — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group IStåle Solbakken4-3-3
CalibrSports Strength Rating72 / 100

Will Norway Qualify from Group I?

Advance from Group80%
Reach Quarter-Final40%
Reach Semi-Final18%
Reach the Final5%
Win the World Cup1%

Powered by CalibrSports ML · Pre-tournament analysis

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Key Players for Norway at World Cup 2026

Erling HaalandGolden Boot
ST

Manchester City

The most prolific striker in world football — any Norway goal in this tournament will likely involve him

Martin Ødegaard
CAM

Arsenal

Creative catalyst and captain, links the play between midfield and Haaland with elite vision

Alexander Sørloth
ST

Atlético de Madrid

Physical second striker who competes for space and provides a reliable backup to Haaland

Norway World Cup 2026 Squad

26-player squad · provisional, via SportMonks · finalized closer to kickoff

Goalkeepers(3)

Ørjan Nyland1Ørjan Nyland
Sander Tangvik12Sander Tangvik
Egil Selvik13Egil Selvik

Defenders(9)

Kristoffer Ajer3Kristoffer Ajer
Leo Østigård4Leo Østigård
David Møller Wolfe5David Møller Wolfe
Fredrik Bjørkan15Fredrik Bjørkan
Marcus Pedersen16Marcus Pedersen
Torbjørn Heggem17Torbjørn Heggem
Sondre Langås24Sondre Langås
Henrik Falchener25Henrik Falchener
Julian Ryerson26Julian Ryerson

Midfielders(7)

Morten Thorsby2Morten Thorsby
Patrick Berg6Patrick Berg
Sander Berge8Sander Berge
Martin Ødegaard10Martin Ødegaard
Fredrik Aursnes14Fredrik Aursnes
Kristian Thorstvedt18Kristian Thorstvedt
Thelo Aasgaard19Thelo Aasgaard

Attackers(7)

Alexander Sørloth7Alexander Sørloth
Erling Haaland9Erling Haaland
Jørgen Strand Larsen11Jørgen Strand Larsen
Antonio Nusa20Antonio Nusa
Andreas Schjelderup21Andreas Schjelderup
Oscar Bobb22Oscar Bobb
Jens Petter Hauge23Jens Petter Hauge

Norway Manager & Playing Style

Manager

Ståle Solbakken

Formation

4-3-3

Direct and physical football built around Erling Haaland's world-class goalscoring, with Ødegaard providing the creative link and a high defensive line inviting Norway to win back possession quickly.

Norway World Cup History

2022Did not qualify
2018Did not qualify
1998Round of 16

Norway's Group I Opponents

1France95 pts
2Norway (this team)72 pts
3Senegal65 pts
4Iraq35 pts

WC 2026 Betting Angles for Norway

Haaland Golden Boot

Haaland is the most dangerous goalscorer in the world and in a group with Iraq — where Norway will expect to score 3-4 goals — he can build an insurmountable Golden Boot lead early.

Norway to qualify from Group I

Norway return to the World Cup for the first time since 1998 and with Haaland at his peak, they have the firepower to edge Senegal for second place — value at mid-range odds.

Over 3.5 goals — Norway vs Iraq

Norway with Haaland against limited Iraqi opposition is one of the most compelling high-scoring group stage picks; over 3.5 goals is near value at standard markets.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Norway qualify from the group stage?

CalibrSports ML gives Norway a 80% probability of advancing from Group I, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.

What are Norway's chances of winning WC 2026?

Our model gives Norway a 1% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.

Who is Norway's best player at WC 2026?

Erling Haaland (ST at Manchester City) — The most prolific striker in world football — any Norway goal in this tournament will likely involve him

CalibrSports Verdict on Norway

Norway's first World Cup since 1998 is entirely defined by one name: Erling Haaland. Solbakken has built a direct, physical side that maximises Haaland's threat and Ødegaard provides the creative quality. The battle with Senegal for second place will define their tournament. CalibrSports gives Norway an 80% chance of advancing from Group I.

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