WC 2026 Group Stage Draw

All 12 groups · 48 qualified nations · AI advance probabilities

June 11 – July 19, 2026 · USA, Canada & Mexico

The FIFA World Cup 2026 is the first edition of the tournament to feature 48 teams, expanding from the 32-team format used since 1998. Hosted jointly by the United States, Canada, and Mexico across 16 stadiums, it represents the largest World Cup in history by number of participating nations, matches, and host cities. The expanded format means more opportunity for the world's best footballing nations — and more data for AI-powered prediction systems like CalibrSports.

The 48 qualified nations are divided into 12 groups of 4 teams each, labelled Group A through Group L. The official draw took place on December 5, 2025, at the Kennedy Center in Washington D.C. Within each group, teams play each other once in a round-robin format — three games per team, six games per group, 72 group stage matches in total. Three points are awarded for a win, one point for a draw, and zero for a loss. Goal difference, goals scored, and head-to-head results serve as tiebreakers in that order.

The top two teams from each of the 12 groups advance automatically to the Round of 32, accounting for 24 of the 32 knockout-round berths. The remaining 8 spots are filled by the eight best third-placed finishers across all 12 groups, ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. This mechanism ensures that the most competitive third-place teams are rewarded for their performances regardless of group difficulty, though it also means that finishing third in a strong group with more points than third-place finishers in weaker groups can still secure advancement.

The Round of 32 — officially referred to as the first knockout round — contains 16 matches played as single-leg ties with extra time and a penalty shootout if the scores are level after 90 minutes. From this point the tournament follows a standard single-elimination bracket through the Round of 16 (8 matches), Quarter-Finals (4 matches), Semi-Finals (2 matches), a Third-Place play-off, and the Final. The entire tournament spans 39 days, from the opening match on June 11 through to the Final on July 19, 2026.

CalibrSports has generated pre-tournament AI predictions for all 48 qualified nations. Our machine learning model — trained on thousands of historical international matches — produces advance probabilities for each stage of the tournament: group stage qualification, Round of 16, Quarter-Finals, Semi-Finals, the Final, and outright winner. These probabilities are calibrated against bookmaker consensus odds from May 2026 and updated as the tournament progresses. Individual team analysis pages include key players, manager and formation, World Cup history, and specific betting angles identified by our AI advisor system.

Use the group cards below to navigate to individual team analysis pages. Each group is sorted by CalibrSports strength rating, with the advance probability shown for each team. For the full bracket predictor and to compete on the leaderboard, visit calibrsports.com/bracket. For live match predictions once the tournament begins, check Hot Picks.

Mexico
87%
South Korea
75%
Czechia
49%
South Africa
22%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Switzerland
97%
Canada
72%
Qatar
25%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Brazil
97%
Morocco
97%
Scotland
52%
Haiti
20%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

USA
90%
Türkiye
65%
Australia
54%
Paraguay
40%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Germany
97%
Ecuador
70%
Ivory Coast
58%
Curaçao
18%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Netherlands
97%
Japan
89%
Sweden
61%
Tunisia
38%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Belgium
97%
Egypt
53%
Iran
43%
New Zealand
27%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Spain
97%
Uruguay
92%
Saudi Arabia
51%
Cape Verde
31%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

France
97%
Norway
96%
Senegal
78%
Iraq
27%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Argentina
97%
Austria
70%
Algeria
56%
Jordan
21%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

Portugal
97%
Colombia
96%
DR Congo
48%
Uzbekistan
28%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

England
97%
Croatia
97%
Ghana
65%
Panama
49%

Advance probability — CalibrSports ML pre-tournament estimate

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