Powered by CalibrSports ML · Pre-tournament analysis
Atlético Madrid
Creative hub; electric pressing and energetic creativity in tight spaces
Torino
Physical and direct centre-forward with technical quality
Palmeiras
Captain and defensive leader; commanding in the air and in duels
25-player squad · provisional, via SportMonks · finalized closer to kickoff
Manager
Daniel Garnero
Formation
4-3-3
Compact South American pragmatism built around Almirón's creative energy, with resolute defensive organisation and effective use of set-pieces as an attacking weapon.
Paraguay are physically tough and tactically disciplined against similar-ranked opponents; X2 double chance in their non-USA group games is value.
Garnero sides are defensively structured and slow-paced; Under 2.5 has landed in 70% of Paraguay's CONMEBOL qualifiers.
Almirón creates more than he scores internationally; first-assist markets at +200 in the group opener are worth considering.
Will Paraguay qualify from the group stage?
CalibrSports ML gives Paraguay a 42% probability of advancing from Group D, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.
What are Paraguay's chances of winning WC 2026?
Our model gives Paraguay a 0% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.
Who is Paraguay's best player at WC 2026?
Miguel Almirón (AM at Atlético Madrid) — Creative hub; electric pressing and energetic creativity in tight spaces
Paraguay end a 12-year World Cup absence under Daniel Garnero after grinding through CONMEBOL qualifying. Almirón's move to Atlético Madrid has rejuvenated him as a player and lifted the squad's ceiling. CalibrSports gives Paraguay a 42% chance of advancing from Group D — they are competitive but reliant on results going their way in a tightly balanced group.