Sweden — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group FJon Dahl Tomasson4-2-3-1
CalibrSports Strength Rating53 / 100

Will Sweden Qualify from Group F?

Advance from Group42%
Reach Quarter-Final13%
Reach Semi-Final4%
Reach the Final1%
Win the World Cup0%

Powered by CalibrSports ML · Pre-tournament analysis

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Key Players for Sweden at World Cup 2026

Dejan Kulusevski
RW

Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League standout; energetic, direct and a reliable goal contributor

Alexander Isak
ST

Newcastle United

World-class striker in his prime; pace, skill and clinical finishing

Emil Forsberg
AM

RB Leipzig

Experienced creative midfielder; elegant playmaker and set-piece specialist

Sweden World Cup 2026 Squad

22-player squad · provisional, via SportMonks · finalized closer to kickoff

Goalkeepers(3)

Jacob Widell Zetterström1Jacob Widell Zetterström
Viktor Johansson12Viktor Johansson
Kristoffer Nordfeldt23Kristoffer Nordfeldt

Defenders(8)

Gustaf Lagerbielke2Gustaf Lagerbielke
Victor Lindelöf3Victor LindelöfC
Isak Hien4Isak Hien
Gabriel Gudmundsson5Gabriel Gudmundsson
Carl Starfelt6Carl Starfelt
Daniel Svensson8Daniel Svensson
Ken Sema13Ken Sema
Hjalmar Ekdal20Hjalmar Ekdal

Midfielders(6)

Lucas Bergvall7Lucas Bergvall
Benjamin Nygren10Benjamin Nygren
Mattias Svanberg15Mattias Svanberg
Jesper Karlström16Jesper Karlström
Yasin Ayari18Yasin Ayari
Besfort Zeneli21Besfort Zeneli

Attackers(5)

Alexander Isak9Alexander Isak
Anthony Elanga11Anthony Elanga
Viktor Gyökeres17Viktor Gyökeres
Gustaf Nilsson19Gustaf Nilsson
Alexander Bernhardsson26Alexander Bernhardsson

Sweden Manager & Playing Style

Manager

Jon Dahl Tomasson

Formation

4-2-3-1

Pragmatic Scandinavian football with strong physicality, set-piece threat and direct play through Isak's powerful running and Kulusevski's relentless wide pressing.

Sweden World Cup History

2022Did not qualify
2018Quarter-final
2014Did not qualify

Sweden's Group F Opponents

1Netherlands80 pts
2Japan67 pts
3Sweden (this team)53 pts
4Tunisia43 pts

WC 2026 Betting Angles for Sweden

Isak Anytime Scorer

Isak is a world-class striker in form; at +160 for anytime scorer in Group F games he is massively undervalued given his Newcastle production.

Sweden Over 1.5 Goals vs Tunisia

Isak and Kulusevski against a limited Tunisian defence should produce a comfortable Swedish win; Over 1.5 at -180 is close to a banker.

Sweden Win or Draw vs Japan

Sweden have the physicality and quality to hold Japan; X2 double chance at +110 offers real value in the Group F key fixture.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Sweden qualify from the group stage?

CalibrSports ML gives Sweden a 42% probability of advancing from Group F, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.

What are Sweden's chances of winning WC 2026?

Our model gives Sweden a 0% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.

Who is Sweden's best player at WC 2026?

Dejan Kulusevski (RW at Tottenham Hotspur) — Premier League standout; energetic, direct and a reliable goal contributor

CalibrSports Verdict on Sweden

Sweden return to the World Cup for the first time since their impressive 2018 quarter-final under Jon Dahl Tomasson, who missed consecutive tournaments without the Ibrahimovic-era identity. Alexander Isak at his best is a genuine Golden Boot contender and carries Sweden's attacking hopes. CalibrSports gives Sweden a 42% chance of advancing from a competitive Group F.

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